农户种草意愿及其影响因素的实证分析  

Empirical analysis of households' willingness of planting forage and its influential factors

作　　者：曾嵘[1,2] 余成群[1] 曲云鹤[1] 李少伟[1] 秦基伟[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,北京100010 [2]中国科学院大学,北京100049

出　　处：《草业科学》2013年第8期1289-1294,共6页Pratacultural Science

基　　金：国家科技支撑项目(2011BAD17B05-4)

摘　　要：为寻求促进扩大栽培牧草种植面积的有效途径,本研究对西藏拉萨、日喀则和山南地区的797个农户的种草意愿情况进行调查,并采用Logistic回归分析对影响该地区农户种草意愿的因素进行分析。结果表明,农户的受教育年限、家庭总收入、耕地总面积、牲畜头数、牧草种子来源受到政府或项目支持及农户参加牲畜合作社对农户种草意愿具有积极的影响,而家庭劳动力人数对种草意愿具有负向影响。其中,户主年龄、家庭人口数和户主是否有村干部或科技特派员经历3个因素对种草意愿无显著影响。基于以上研究结果,本研究提出了加快普及种草养畜相关知识、研发适宜农区种草相关技术和加强牧草种植补贴额度的对策。797 households＇ willingness of forage planting was investigated and analyzed by Logistic regres- sion method in Lhasa, Rikaze and Shannan districts, in order to achieve the effective path for expanding cultivation of forage. The results showed that education level, total income, cultivated land area, the index of livestock, forage seed supplied by program or government, participation of agricultural coopera- tion have significant positive effects on households＇. The quantity of the labor force for each household has negative influence. Labor age, population of the family and the household with a technological assistant or village leader have no obvious influence on forage planting willingness. Based on these results, suggestions were made as follows. 1）Accelerate the popularization of forage planting and livestock-related knowledge; 2）Research and develop related technology suitable for the rural areas： 3）Give finance support to forage planting.

关 键 词：种草意愿 影响因素 LOGISTIC回归分析 

分 类 号：F323.212[经济管理—产业经济] F224