九连增背景下中国粮食生产展望  

Outlook of China's Grain Production under the Background of Production Increasing for Nine Years

作　　者：马晓春[1,2] 宋莉莉[3] 李贺明[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]中商商业发展规划院,北京100101 [2]中商流通生产力促进中心,北京100006 [3]中国农业科学院农业经济与发展研究所,北京100081

出　　处：《农业展望》2013年第8期38-41,47,共5页Agricultural Outlook

基　　金：国家科技支撑计划课题(2012BAD28B09)

摘　　要：2003—2013年连续11年中央一号文件围绕"三农"问题从不同角度提出多项惠农政策。2004—2012年连续9年粮食增产的事实充分证明了惠农政策的实效。与此同时,工业化、城镇化带来的农业劳动力数量与质量下降、耕地面积缩减及质量下降等问题威胁中国粮食生产。未来,在粮食及畜产品需求持续增长的背景下,中国粮食生产将面临新的挑战,粮食供求将长期处于紧平衡态势。The No. 1 central documents of China＇s government have been put forward a number of benefiting-farmers polices from different aspects from 2003 to 2013. Grain production increasing from 2004 to 2012 proved the effect of benefiting-farmers policy. At the same time, industrialization and urbanization induced depressive quantity and quality of agricultural labor, reduced area and quality of farmland, which would threat China＇s grain production. In the future, China＇s grain production will face some new challenges under the background of increasing demand on grain and livestock, and the supply and demand will be in tight balance for a long time.

关 键 词：粮食生产 工业化 城镇化 

分 类 号：F326.11[经济管理—产业经济]