我国城镇居民通货膨胀承受能力判断——基于消费者价格指数与主观效用指数的比较分析  

Judgment of Tolerance for Inflation of China's Urban Residents: Comparative Analysis Based on the Consumer Price Index and the Subjective Utility Index

作　　者：王朝明[1] 马文武[1] 

机构地区：[1]西南财经大学,成都611130

出　　处：《中国经济问题》2013年第4期12-23,共12页China Economic Studies

基　　金：国家自然科学基金课题"社会资本视角下政府反贫困政策绩效管理的理论与实证研究"(批准号:70873097)的研究成果;四川省科技厅软科学计划项目(立项编号:2013ZR0030)资助

摘　　要：由于通货膨胀承受能力具有明显的主观判断性,那么基于传统的消费者价格指数计算的通胀承受能力,因为其纯粹依赖客观经济数据而没考虑人的自我感知而具有局限性。本文通过MIU模型和变异补偿法,使货币需求函数和个人效用函数联系起来,构建一个新指数——消费效用不变补偿指数,将人的主观感受与客观经济的通胀状况相结合,建立了新的通货膨胀承受能力指标,并与以消费者价格指数为基础建立的通胀承受能力指标进行比较分析。使用这两组指标的三种通胀承受能力,通过对城镇居民整体、各收入阶层、城镇居民分项收入三个方面进行比较分析,发现两组指标的三种通货膨胀承受能力在各个较高通货膨胀历史时期,表现出较大差异性。Due to subjective judgment of inflation tolerance, inflation tolerance calculated based on consumer price index has its limitation, for its purely depending on the objective economic data and not considering the person＇s self-perception. By MIU model and variation compensation method, linking money demand function and personal utility function, this article has built a new index--the same consumption utility compensation index which combined the subjective feelings of the people with the objective of economic inflation situation,to establish a new tolerance indicator for inflation, and make a comparative analysis between the old and the new. Using the three inflation tolerance each based on two sets of metrics, by comparatively analyzed from urban residents as a whole,all income groups,the source of income of urban residents,found that two sets of indicators of inflation tolerance in the historical period of higher inflation showing a greater difference.

关 键 词：效用不变补偿指数 价格指数 通胀承受能力 

分 类 号：F822.5[经济管理—财政学] F224F126.1