浙江省经济开放度与经济增长关系研究——基于VAR模型的动态分析  

作　　者：詹崇鹤[1] 

机构地区：[1]杭州电子科技大学经济学院,浙江杭州310018

出　　处：《对外经贸》2013年第8期53-55,共3页FOREIGN ECONOMIC RELATIONS & TRADE

摘　　要：利用浙江省1988—2011年相关经济数据,选取外贸开放度、外资开放度和对外经济合作度3个指标,采用VAR模型对浙江省经济开放度与经济增长关系进行实证研究。结果表明:出口和对外经济合作是推动浙江省经济增长的主要力量;对外经济合作对经济增长的贡献不应被忽视;进口开放度对经济增长具有反向作用;经济增长是外资开放度的Granger原因;经济开放度是经济增长的Granger原因。浙江省经济要保持持续增长应进一步提高经济开放程度。By selecting foreign trade openness,foreign investment openness and the degree of foreign economic cooperation,we used VAR model to analyze the relationship between economic openness and economic growth in Zhejiang Province from 1988 to 2011.The result shows that exports and foreign economic cooperation are major forces to promote the growth of economy of Zhejiang Province.The contribution of foreign economic cooperation to the economic growth should not be ignored;import openness has reverse effect on economic growth;economic growth is Granger cause of foreign capital openness;there is a causal relationship between economic openness and economic growth in Zhejiang Province.Zhejiang Province should further improve the degree of economic openness economy if it wants to keep economic growing.

关 键 词：经济开放度 经济增长 VAR 脉冲响应 方差分解 

分 类 号：F125[经济管理—世界经济]