利用可信性模糊回归模型研究核电厂操纵员事故响应时  

Research on the Response Time of Nuclear Power Plant Operators Based on Possibilistic Fuzzy Linear Regression Model

作　　者：方向[1] 赵炳全[1] 

机构地区：[1]清华大学核能技术设计研究院,北京100084

出　　处：《核科学与工程》2000年第3期274-281,共8页Nuclear Science and Engineering

摘　　要：利用模糊数学中的模糊数概念 ,采用可信性模糊回归模型研究核电厂操纵员的事故响应。对影响操纵员事故响应时间的绩效形成因子PSF进行了定量化的分析 ,得到了核电厂操纵员事故响应时间的可信性模糊回归模型定量计算公式。对所得到的结论进行了相应的分析 ,说明了在小样本情况下所采用研究方法的正确性。The article makes use of the concept of fuzzy number in fuzzy mathematics and does the research to the response time of accident of nuclear power plant operators based on the possibilistic fuzzy linear regression model.Through the quantitative analysis to the performance shape factors which influence the response time of operators,the article gets the formula of the operator response time based on the possibilistic fuzzy linear regression model.The article illustrates the correct research method which was used under the small samples through the analysis about the conclusion.The research method can be used not only for reference to the safe operation of nuclear power plant but also in other areas.

关 键 词：事故响应时间 可信性模糊回归模型 核电厂 PSF 

分 类 号：TM623.8[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]