省际可持续发展:基于包容性财富的测量和比较  

Provincial Sustainability Development of China: Measurement and Comparison Based on Inclusive Wealth Index

作　　者：庄佳强[1] 

机构地区：[1]中南财经政法大学财政税务学院,湖北武汉430073

出　　处：《中国人口·资源与环境》2013年第9期90-99,共10页China Population,Resources and Environment

基　　金：教育部人文社科青年基金项目(项目编号:13YJC790288);国家自然科学基金项目(项目编号:71001107);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金(项目编号:2002015)

摘　　要：本文通过构建省际包容性财富指标,从时间和空间维度对1990年以来我国省际可持续发展能力和差异进行比较。研究发现,自然资本对财富的负面影响主要由生产资本和人力资本的大幅增加所抵消。从时间维度来看,各省人均包容性财富变动可以分为U型增长、慢速增长、快速增长以及持续下降但降速趋缓四类。省际比较的结果表明资源大省自然资本的减少并没有被其实物资本和人力资本的增加所充分弥补,但这类地区仍然拥有较多的人均包容性财富,通过政策调整和发展模式改变,其长期可持续增长可期。By building provincial inclusive wealth index, this paper compares the sustainable development capacity of Chinese provinces and their differences since 1990 from time and space dimensions. The study shows that the negative effect of natural capital on wealth is offset by rapid increase in produced capital and human capital. From the time dimension, the growth model of inclusive wealth can be divided into four categories： U-shape growth, slow growth, rapid growth and sustained decline with a slowing down trend. The result of inter-provincial comparison shows that the reduction of natural capital in provinces with abundant resources does not fully compensated by the sustain increase of produced and human capital. But these provinces still have higher inclusive wealth per capita, and its long-term sustainable growth can be expected through policy adjustment and development mode change.

关 键 词：包容性财富 可持续发展 省际比较 

分 类 号：F061.3[经济管理—政治经济学]