1982～2010年喀什木本植物物候变化与气候变化的关系  

THE RELATIONSHIP WITH WOODY PLANTS PHONOLOGICAL VARIATION CHARACTERS AND CLIMATIC CHANGE FROM 1982 TO 2010 IN KASHI

作　　者：阿布都克日木.阿巴司 王荣梅 阿不都西库尔.阿不都克力木 努尔帕提曼.买买提热依木 

机构地区：[1]新疆维吾尔自治区喀什地区气象局,喀什844000 [2]新疆维吾尔自治区塔什库尔干塔吉克自治县气象局,喀什845250

出　　处：《第四纪研究》2013年第5期927-935,共9页Quaternary Sciences

基　　金：新疆维吾尔自治区气象局青年基金项目(批准号:201333)资助

摘　　要：利用喀什国家基准气候站1982-2010年的气象观测数据和地面物候观测资料,采用气候倾向率和气候趋势系数方法,分析气温、降水、日照时数的变化特征以及其对新疆常见的5种木本树种物候期的影响。结果表明：近29年来喀什气候增暖,气温、降水量和日照时数等基本气象要素的增加趋势较明显,年平均气温和年总降水量的增幅分别为0.37-1.10℃/10a和12.14mm/10a; 以季节而言,在春季气温和日照时数的升幅最大,降水量在秋季较明显。这种气候变暖的趋势与5种树物候期有密切相关,春季气温和春季日照时数的增多使物候期提前,而秋季的降水量促进木本植物的生长,使物候期延迟。The variation characteristics of air temperature,precipitation,sunshine duration and its effect on five species of woody plants such as Populus bolleanalanche, Salix babylonica,Prunus armeniaca,Malus pumila,Fdeagnys qxycarpasehlech commonly in Kashi were investigated using by climate trend coefficient and climate tendency ratio based on meteorological observational data and phenological observation data of ground in the national reference stations from 1982 to 2010 of Kashi（39°28＇N,75°59＇E）.The results show that in the past 29 years the climatic was warming and the basic meteorological elements such as air temperature,precipitation and sunshine duration were increased significantly, the increasing rate of annual average temperature and total rainfall were 0.37-1.10℃/10a and 12. 14mm/10a respectively.For as season,temperature and sunshine duration were increased significantly in spring and precipitation was obviously in autumn.The climatic warming was related to the phenology of five species of woody plants that increasing of spring temperature and sunshine duration were advances of plant phenology,and precipitation in the autumn to promote the woody plants growth and lead to delay of the plant phenology.

关 键 词：喀什 气候变化 木本植物 植物物候 响应 

分 类 号：P467[天文地球—大气科学及气象学] P461.7