广东省出口贸易对碳排放影响的实证研究  

Empirical Analysis of Influence of Export Trade on Carbon Emission in Guangdong Province

作　　者：雷玉桃 罗蕴怡[1] 

机构地区：[1]华南理工大学经济与贸易学院,广东广州510006

出　　处：《改革与战略》2013年第9期59-62,82,共5页Reformation & Strategy

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(项目编号:71173076);华南理工大学中央高校基本科研业务费资助项目

摘　　要：文章采用协整检验和误差修正模型对广东省1985—2011年的出口贸易和碳排放之间的关系进行实证分析。协整研究结果表明:出口贸易与碳排放之间存在长期均衡稳定关系。在误差修正模型中,结果也表明了广东省出口贸易与碳排放二者之间在短期内存在紧密联系。文章针对分析结果提出了相应的建议:创新和推广低碳技术、构建碳交易平台、优化出口贸易结构和完善法律法规。This paper analyzes the influence of export trade on carbon emission in Guangdong province from 1985 to 2011, with the method of co-integration test and error correction model. The research finds out that export trade and carbon emission have a long-term co-integration relationship. In the error correction model, the conclusion shows that export trade and carbon emission in Guangdong province have a close relation in short term. This paper proposes some advice for the development of Guangdong province. The ways are innovating and promoting low-carbon technology, establishing a carbon exchange platform, optimizing the export trade structure and improving laws and regulations.

关 键 词：广东省 出口贸易 碳排放 实证分析 

分 类 号：F752.8[经济管理—国际贸易]