基于粗糙集和可信性理论的订单融资风险评估  

Evaluation of Order Financing Risks Based on Rough Set and Credibility Theory

作　　者：赵琪[1] 

机构地区：[1]中北大学经济与管理学院,山西太原030051

出　　处：《物流技术》2013年第7期278-280,共3页Logistics Technology

摘　　要：构建了订单融资风险评估指标体系,并建立粗糙集和可信性理论相结合的订单融资风险评估模型,通过专家打分建立风险评估信息系统,约简评估指标体系,计算约简后各二级指标权重,最后结合可信性理论得出综合评价值。该方法无需依赖先验知识,简化了评估过程,解决了传统模糊集理论中选取隶属函数的主观性问题,并由于可信性理论的自对偶性,其评价结果更符合人们的思维习惯,易于理解接受。以实例进行检验,表明了该方法的有效性。对供应链金融服务中订单融资业务的风险评估有一定的借鉴意义。In this paper, we established the evaluation index system for the order financing risks as well as the order financing risk evaluation model that incorporated rough set and credibility theory, then through expert scoring, built the risk evaluation information system and at the end obtained the comprehensive evaluation score through the credibility theory. At the end, through ari empirical test, we demonstrated the effectiveness of the method.

关 键 词：供应链金融 订单融资 风险评估 粗糙集理论 可信性理论 

分 类 号：F830.9[经济管理—金融学]