综合运输与物流系统发展协调性分析  

Analysis on Development Coordination between Comprehensive Transportation and Logistic System

作　　者：徐菱[1] 刘娟[1] 

机构地区：[1]西南交通大学交通运输与物流学院,四川成都610031

出　　处：《铁道运输与经济》2013年第9期43-48,共6页Railway Transport and Economy

摘　　要：交通运输对物流的发展具有支撑作用,而综合运输系统与物流系统之间的协调发展必然会促进经济的发展,因此研究综合运输和物流系统之间的协调性尤为重要。综合利用二维灰色动态协调模型和主成分分析法研究综合运输系统与物流系统之间的发展关系,分析成都市综合运输和物流系统结构和数量的协调,通过协调性的分析提出成都市综合运输和物流系统发展协调的关键在于铁路货运量、铁路周转量和公路货运量这3个因素,从而为相关政策的制定提供理论依据。Traffic and transportation have support role on logistic development, while the coordinative development between comprehensive transport system and logistic system could necessary promote economic development, so the study on coordination between comprehensive transportation and logistic system is particularly important. By comprehensively using the two- dimensional grey dynamic coordination model and the principal component analysis （PCA）, this paper studies the development relationship between comprehensive transport system and logistic system, analyzes the structure and number coordination between both system in Chengdu city, and through coordination analysis, puts forward the keys of the coordination in Chengdu are three factors including railway freight transport volume, railway T-kin and highway freight transport volume, all of these factors could provide theoretical evidence for instituting relative policies.

关 键 词：综合运输 物流 协调度 二维灰色动态协调模型 主成分分析法 

分 类 号：F250[经济管理—国民经济]