中国自主创新政策的效应及其时空差异——基于省际面板数据的实证检验  

The Effect and Spatial-temporal Differences of Chinese Independent Innovation Policy—Evidences from Provincial Panel Data

作　　者：范柏乃[1] 段忠贤[1] 江蕾[2] 

机构地区：[1]浙江大学公共管理学院,中国浙江杭州310027 [2]上海财经大学公共经济与管理学院,中国上海200433

出　　处：《经济地理》2013年第8期31-36,共6页Economic Geography

基　　金：国家自然科学基金面上项目(71173143);教育部新世纪优秀人才支持计划(NCET-10-0725);教育部博士研究生学术新人奖

摘　　要：以Rorhwell和Zegveld提出的创新政策类型为解释变量,以国内专利申请授权量为被解释变量,以FDI为控制变量,利用面板数据模型对我国"十五"和"十一五"时期31个省份的数据进行实证分析,结果表明:长期来看,我国制定实施的一系列促进自主创新的供给政策、需求政策和基础政策均取得了积极的效果,而环境政策的效应较不稳定;对于不同的发展阶段,不同类别的自主创新政策效应具有明显差异,在"十五"时期仅有供给政策发挥了显著的积极效应,而"十一五"时期的供给政策、需求政策和基础政策均取得了积极的政策效果;对于不同的自然地理条件和社会经济发展水平的地区,不同类别的自主创新政策效应也存在明显差异,供给政策在东部的正效应最强,需求政策的积极效应仅在东部和西部表现比较显著,环境政策在东部和中部的负效应最为显著,基础政策的积极效应仅在东部和中部较为显著。The paper has used panel data model to do an empirical analysis on the data which was selected from 31 provinces in China during the period of ＂10th Five-Year Plan＂ and the ＂Eleventh Five-Year＂. An independent innovation policy type proposed by Rorhwell and Zegveld was selected as the explanatory variables and the indicator named successful domestic patent applications was granted into an explained variable, and FDI was used as a control one. A panel data model was used to test it including 31 provinces in the past 10 years divided into 2 periods. The result shows that, in a long term, some policies for the promotion of independent innovation have achieved positive results, such as supply policy, demand policy and infrastructure policies, but the effects of environmental policy is less stable; As for different development stages, different independent innovation policies has obvious differences in effect, and supply policy was the only policy which has played a significant positive effect in the ＂10th Five-Year Plan＂ period, while the supply policy, demandpolicy and infrastructure policies all achieved positive effects during the period of the ＂Eleventh Five-Year＂. Supply policy has strongest positive effect in the east, and the positive effects of the demand-side policies perform more significant in the eastern and western, while the negative effects of environmental policy is the most significant in the eastern and central parts, and the positive effects of infrastructure policy is more significant in the eastern and central.

关 键 词：自主创新 自主创新政策 面板模型 时空差异 中国 

分 类 号：F120[经济管理—世界经济]