江苏省产业结构的空间格局演变及其动力机制分析  

The Spatial Pattern Dynamics of Industry Structure and Mechanisms Analysis in Jiangsu Province

作　　者：李在军[1] 管卫华[1] 臧磊[1] 吕旭江[1] 

机构地区：[1]南京师范大学地理科学学院,中国江苏南京210023

出　　处：《经济地理》2013年第8期79-85,共7页Economic Geography

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(41271128);江苏省高校自然科学基础研究项目(11KJB170003);江苏高校优势学科建设工程项目(地理学)

摘　　要：以江苏省1995、2000、2005及2010年各县、市产业结构系数为研究指标,运用空间自相关、空间变异函数、克里格空间插值等方法,对江苏省县、市的产业空间结构进行研究。结果表明:1995年来,江苏省产业结构的总体空间格局分异显著,且具有较高的稳定性,整体上呈现出南—北差异性;由冷热点区演化来看,江苏省产业发展水平的区域空间集聚趋势明显,苏南地区尤其是与上海毗邻地区为高水平集聚区,而广大苏北地区及多数苏中地区多为低水平集聚区;产业发展水平的空间格局连续性与自组织性逐渐增强,空间自相关引起的结构分异越来越显著,空间关联效应的作用范围增大,各方向产业水平的空间不均衡有扩大的趋势。最后采用逐步回归分析方法,分析了4个年份的产业空间格局演变的影响因素。Based on the industrial structure coefficient of counties and cities respectively in 1995,2000,2005 and 2010 years in Jiangsu, this paper applyies the methods of spatial correlation, spatial variogram and kriging interpolation to analyze the industry spatial structure of counties and cities in Jiangsu. The results show that since 1995, the spatial pattern of industry structure generally differentiates significantly and has high stability, on the whole, presenting the south-north difference. According to the cold-hot zone evolution, we find the regional industrial development level has obvious concentration trend. The south of Jiangsu especially adjoining to Shanghai are high level gathering areas, and the north and majority of middle of Jiangsu are areas of low level concentration. The continuity and self-organizing of industrial development level spatial pattern gradually strengthens. The structure differentiation caused by spatial autocorrelation becomes more and more prominent. The scope of space correlation effect increases, but the direction of the industry level uneven space shows expanding tendency. Finally, we adopts stepwise regression analysis methods to explore the main formation reasons of affecting the industry spatial structure pattern evolution.

关 键 词：产业结构系数 空间格局演变 机制分析 江苏省‘ 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济]