上海市城市居民边际消费倾向特征实证研究  

Empirical Research about Features of Marginal Consumption Tendency of Urban Residents in Shanghai

作　　者：张效莉 黄硕琳[1] 蒋和[2] 

机构地区：[1]上海海洋大学海洋经济研究中心,上海201306 [2]南京师范大学数学科学学院,江苏南京210046

出　　处：《预测》2013年第5期69-74,共6页Forecasting

基　　金：上海市教委"085"工程和上海市哲学社会科学基金联合资助项目(2009JG023-BJB210)

摘　　要：本文运用Panel Data模型对上海市城市居民不同收入水平下用于食品、交通通讯、文教娱乐、衣着、居住、医疗保健、家庭用品及服务等消费品的边际消费倾向进行了实证研究。研究结果表明:对于不同消费品,上海市城市居民不同收入家庭的边际消费倾向各不相同。总体而言,用于食品的边际消费倾向最高。交通通讯的边际消费倾向基本处于第二、第三位。文教娱乐的边际消费倾向总体上排在第三位及以前。衣着的边际消费倾向基本保持在第四和第五位。居住问题是上海市城市居民需要考虑的排序第四、第五位的消费问题,但比衣着的边际消费倾向稍微小一些。家庭用品及服务的边际消费倾向总体上排序在第六位。医疗保健的边际消费倾向是所有消费品中最低的。最后,依据研究结论给出几点关于相关行业发展的启示。The essay, used the Panel Data model, has done the empirical research on residential tendency of marginal consumption of food, traffic and communication, culture and entertainment, clothing, housing, health care, household and services of urban residents in Shanghai under different levels of income. The results show that, for different kind of goods, the marginal consumption tendencies are different. Generally speaking, the tendency of marginal consumption of food ranks first, while traffic and communication ranks the second and third. Culture and entertainment is before the third, and clothing is at the fourth or fifth. A little bit less than clothing, the tendency of marginal consumption of the housing ranks the fourth and fifth. The marginal consumption tendency of household and service generally ranks the sixth, while the health care ranks the last. Several inspirations are given on how the relevant industries should develop at the end of the essay.

关 键 词：城市居民 边际消费倾向 PANEL DATA模型 实证研究 

分 类 号：F126.2[经济管理—世界经济]