重大群体性事件演化影响因素的相关关系研究——基于结构方程模型的分析  

Studying on the Correlations among Affecting Factors in Evolution of Major Mass Events——Based on the Structural Equation Model

作　　者：向良云[1] 居水木[2] 刘霞[3] 

机构地区：[1]南京工业大学法律与行政学院,南京211800 [2]浙江大学管理学院,杭州310058 [3]上海交通大学国务学院,上海200030

出　　处：《情报杂志》2013年第9期16-22,共7页Journal of Intelligence

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究青年项目"重大群体性突发事件演化机理与干预研究"(编号:10YJC630292);国家社会科学基金青年项目"重大群体性事件发生;演化及其阻断机制研究"(编号:11CGL093)

摘　　要：在国内外相关研究基础上建立起重大群体性事件演化过程中社会变化、导火索事件情景刺激、导火索事件社会认知、群体结构以及群体心理等关键影响因素相关关系的理论假设,结合石首事件,借助问卷调查和结构方程技术验证假设。研究发现,社会变化作为事件的外在结构性条件作用于导火索事件情景以及公众的导火索事件社会认知,在认知中介作用下促使分散的"乌合之众"形成暂时的"组织化"群体,并激化群体情绪,最终在情绪与行为的结构性传导和相互强化过程中推动事件演化升级。We established the relationship assumptions of key variables in the evolution of major mass events about social changes, scenar- ios stimulation of fuse event, social cognition of fuse event, and group structure and group psychology on the foundation of relevant re- search at home and aboard. Combined with mass incidents in Shishou and using questionnaire and structural equation techniques we veri- fied these assumptions and found that social changes as external structural conditions acted on fuse incident scene and social cognition, in the cognitive mediator effect made the motley crew form a temporary organized group with intensified group emotion, and promoted the e- volution of major mass invent in the course of structural a＇ansmission and mutual reinforcement between mood and behaviour.

关 键 词：重大群体性事件 影响因素 相关关系 结构方程石首事件 

分 类 号：D669.8[政治法律—政治学]