大国区域经济周期的差异性:以中国省际数据为例  

Difference of Regional Economic Cycle of Large Country:Taking Chinese Provincial Data as an Example

作　　者：李玉双[1] 彭晓莲[2] 

机构地区：[1]嘉兴学院商学院,浙江嘉兴314001 [2]湖南大学经济与贸易学院,湖南长沙410079

出　　处：《湖南商学院学报》2013年第4期12-16,共5页Journal of Hunan Business College

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目<大国经济发展理论研究>(项目编号:11&ZD144)

摘　　要：目前探讨大国经济发展规律已成为学术界研究的热点问题之一。本文以典型大国——中国为分析对象,从周期长度、深度、形态等三方面的6个指标出发,探讨大国区域经济周期的差异性。研究结果表明:中国区域经济周期在周期的长度、深度、形态等方面都存在显著性差异。为了进一步深入了解区域经济周期的差异性,本文又采用系统聚类法,对其进行分类研究,其研究结果显示,依据已测算的6个指标,可以将中国28个地区划分为5类。Exploring the development of large country economy has become one of the hot issues in academic researeh nowadays. Taking typical large eountryDChina as the research object, the paper studies the difference of regional economic cycle of large country in the light of 6 indexes in three aspects of cycle length, depth, and shape. The result shows that there are significant differences in cycle length, depth, and shape in regional economic cycle of China. In order to further understand regional economic cycle, the paper categorizes them by using Hierarchical Clustering Method, and the result shows that 28 areas of China are divided into 5 categories according to the 6 indexes measured.

关 键 词：大国经济 中国 区域经济周期 差异性 聚类分析 

分 类 号：F124[经济管理—世界经济]