甘肃能源消费与经济增长动态影响关系实证分析——基于JJ协整检验和误差修正模型  

Energy Consumption and Economic Growth of Gansu's Dynamic Empirical Analysis:Based JJ co-integration test and error correction model

作　　者：樊元[1] 刘亚丽[1] 陈晶[1] 

机构地区：[1]西北师范大学经济学院,甘肃兰州730070

出　　处：《数学的实践与认识》2013年第18期39-45,共7页Mathematics in Practice and Theory

摘　　要：为了深度考量甘肃省能源消费与经济增长之间的动态影响关系,基于1985年-2010年的统计数据,选取能够代表能源消费与经济增长的指标变量,通过JJ协整检验和向量误差修正模型,采用定性与定量相结合的分析方法对其短期及长期影响关系进行了实证分析,结论表明:甘肃省能源消费与经济增长之间存在显著的正相关关系,能源消费携同其他要素(如资本存量、劳动力投入)与经济增长之间存在着长期均衡关系,实际GDP增长率波动的84.Upon the statistical data of Gansu province in 1985-2010.Using a combination of qualitative and quantitative analysis of empirical analysis of the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth in Gansu Province. There is a significant positive correlation between the energy consumption of Gansu Province, the capital stock, labor input and economic growth by JJ co-integration test. Long-run equilibrium relationship between energy consumption and economic growth. The four variables in the model, and their longterm relatiSnships can explain Fluctuations in short-term real GDP growth rate of 84.8% by Vector error correction model.

关 键 词：甘肃省 能源消费 经济增长 协整分析 向量误差修正模型 

分 类 号：F426.2[经济管理—产业经济] F127F224