人水关系的博弈作用机理及计算方法  

Study on Game Mechanism of Human-water Relationship and Its Calculating Method

作　　者：毛翠翠[1] 左其亭[1] 

机构地区：[1]郑州大学水科学研究中心,河南郑州450001

出　　处：《水电能源科学》2013年第9期155-158,共4页Water Resources and Power

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(51079132;51279183);河南省高校科技创新团队支持计划基金资助项目(13IRTSTHN030)

摘　　要：基于人水关系的国内外博弈论研究现状,通过分析人文系统和水系统的相互作用及博弈论的原理和内涵,从博弈构成要素及博弈类型两方面深入探讨了人水关系的博弈作用机理。在此基础上,提出了人水关系的博弈计算方法及应用思路,主要包括人水博弈策略集合的确定及各个决策的定量化转换、人水博弈支付函数的构建及函数变量计算的思考方向、人水博弈均衡计算的目标及均衡解的求解。为以后的人水关系作用机理及定量化研究奠定了基础。The research status of game theory is summarized based on the human-water relationship. By analyzing in- teraction between human system and water system, principle and connotation of the game theory, the game mechanism of human-water relationship is discussed from two aspects of game elements and game types. And then, calculation method of human-water game is put forward. Firstly, the calculation method mainly includes formation of game strategy sets and quantitative transformation of each decision. Secondly, game payoff function is established with function variable calculat- ed. Finally, the target function of game equilibrium calculation is used to solve the equilibrium solution. Thus, it laid the foundation for study of the mechanism and quantitative research of the human-water relationship in the future.

关 键 词：人水关系 博弈 作用机理 人水博弈 博弈计算 

分 类 号：TV213.4[水利工程—水文学及水资源]