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机构地区:[1]吉林财经大学国际经济贸易学院
出 处:《财经科学》2013年第9期92-99,共8页Finance & Economics
摘 要:笔者利用1982—2010年的年度数据,分析了我国的FDI、服务业比较优势和服务贸易竞争力之间的短期和长期Granger因果关系。研究表明:虽然在短期内FDI促进了服务业比较优势的提升,然而从长期看其对服务业比较优势具有负效应;而我国服务贸易出口促进政策虽然在短期内有一定效果,但未能为服务业比较优势提升带来长久动力,因此,通过吸引外资和促进服务贸易出口来提升我国服务业比较优势的发展思路从长远看并不可行。This study is to evaluate the effect of foreign capital to promote the international competitiveness of service trade. Basing on 1982- 2010 annual data, this paper conducts short- term and long- term Granger causality tests on FDI, the comparative advantage of service industry, and the competitiveness of service trade. The research indicates that although FDI promotes the comparative advantages of service in- dustry in the short term, in the long run it has a negative effect. Moreover, the egicieney of export promotion policy is low, not only unable to advance the comparative advantages of service industry, but damage it. Therefore, it is not feasible to improve the comparative advantages of service industry by attracting FDI or by export promotion policy; the traditional export- oriented growth mode is not suitable for service industry.
关 键 词:FDI 服务业比较优势 服务贸易竞争力 GRANGER因果关系
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