我国碳排放强度变化的区域影响分析  

Regional Contributions to Changes of China's Carbon Dioxide Emissions Intensity

作　　者：赵成柏[1] 

机构地区：[1]淮阴工学院经济管理学院,江苏淮安223001

出　　处：《数学的实践与认识》2013年第17期69-78,共10页Mathematics in Practice and Theory

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金"我国经济增长中的碳排放强度评估及其目标实现路径研究"(11YJA790214);江苏省高校哲学社会科学研究基金(2012SJB790005)

摘　　要：为分析区域对我国碳排放强度变化的具体影响,运用完全分解模型,从省级区域、东、中、西部等视角对我国碳排放强度变化的影响进行分解分析.结果发现:1)我国碳排放强度总体上呈现下降趋势,由1997年的2.064吨/万元下降到2009年的1.556吨/万元,年均碳排放强度下降2.74%.2)在1997—2009年期间,对我国碳排放强度下降起最大正作用的是黑龙江、辽宁、河北、湖北、上海5个省份、东部地区;3)要促使我国碳排放强度下降,首要监控对象应该是河北、湖北和黑龙江三个省份和东部地区.To analysis changes of China＇s carbon dioxide emissions intensity contributed by its regional economies, this paper uses the complete decomposition model to analyze them from the provincial administration regions and the divisions of East Area, Middle Area and West Area respectively. It concludes that： 1） There is an overall declining trend in China＇s carbon emissions intensity, dropping from 2.064 tons of carbon dioxide per million GDP in1997 to 1.556 tons of carbon dioxide per million GDP in 2009, with an annual average decrease of 2.74%. 2） The areas which have the greatest positive effect on the decrease of China＇s carbon dioxide emissions intensity during 1997 -2009 are Heilongjiang, Liaoning, Hebei, Hubei, Shanghai five provincial administration regions and the East Area; 3） In order to reduce China＇s carbon emission intensity, China should give priorities in the governing on the three provinces of Heilongjiang Hebei, Hubei and the Eastern region.

关 键 词：碳排放强度 区域贡献 完全分解模型 

分 类 号：X502[环境科学与工程—环境工程]