大都市边缘区旅游产业链动态演化研究——以西安临潼区为例  

The Evolution of the Tourism Industrial Chain of the Margin Area of Metropolitan Cities: A Case Study of Lintong District, Xi'an

作　　者：董皓[1] 

机构地区：[1]西安交通大学经济与金融学院,中国陕西西安710049

出　　处：《经济地理》2013年第9期188-192,共5页Economic Geography

摘　　要：以西安临潼区为例,利用随机生灭理论与有向图理论结合,对其旅游产业链的动态演化过程进行了分析,并通过建立马尔科夫状态转移过程动态随机统计模型,同时结合产业经济漏损的约束条件,对西安临潼区旅游产业链的动态演化进行了模拟分析。结果表明:临潼区旅游产业链的动态延伸将成为区域经济发展、改善城市社会形态的重要增长点;其旅游产业链也将会在其动态演化中逐步得到完善。The development of the tourism industry chain has played an increasingly prominent role during the development of Chinese tourism industry since 2000. Based on the directed graph and the birth and death process, this paper analyzes the dynamic evolution of the tourism industrial chain by taking Lintong District of Xi＇ an as a case area. The dynamic evolution process of the tourism industrial chain is also simulated by constructing the dynamic random statistical model of Markov condition transfer process aided by the economic leakage restriction conditions. The results show： tourism industrial chain expansion in Lintong District will become an important growth point in promoting the regional economic development and improving the urban social shapes; its tourism industry chain will also be improved and perfected gradually at the same time.

关 键 词：旅游产业链 随机统计模型 生灭过程 经济漏损 西安临潼区 

分 类 号：F590[经济管理—旅游管理]