全要素背景下人口迁移对我国省际间经济差距影响的分析  

Analysis of the Impact of Migration on China's Inter-provincial Economic Gap in the Context of Total Factor

作　　者：贾小玫[1] 张喆[1] 郑坤拾[1] 

机构地区：[1]西安交通大学,西安710061

出　　处：《中央财经大学学报》2013年第9期64-70,共7页Journal of Central University of Finance & Economics

基　　金：西安交通大学中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金(项目编号:SK2012036)支持

摘　　要：省际间经济发展不平衡是我国改革开放以来面临的重大问题。一般来说,人口会从低收入地区向高收入地区迁移,这样的人口迁移会使地区间经济差距产生收敛。然而目前的研究并没有得出一致的结论。本文运用全要素生产率理论,采用31个省1996—2011年的面板数据进行实证分析,结果表明,我国省际间经济差距虽然逐步呈现出收敛状态,但地区间经济差距仍在逐渐拉大。同时人口迁移并没有直接对省际间的经济差距产生收敛效应,实际上扩大了各地区的经济差距。The inter-provincial economic development imbalances are the major issues facing China since the reform and opening up. In general, the population migration is from low - income areas to high - income are-as. In theory, such a regional economic disparities caused by the population migration can make produce conver-gence. However, the current study did not reach the same conclusion. This paper uses the theory of total factor productivity, based on the use of the 1996 -2011 panel data of 31 provinces, through theoretical analysis and em- pirical test results showed that： China＇s inter - provincial economic gap with the gradually showing convergence effect, but the economic gap or slowly expanding; population migration does not directly produce convergence effect on the inter-provincial economic gap, its actually expanded regional economic disparities.

关 键 词：全要素 人口迁移 地区差距 收敛效应 

分 类 号：F241.22[经济管理—劳动经济]