中国经济动态效率与需求结构失衡的实证分析  

An Empirical Analysis of the Dynamic Efficiency and Demand Structure Imbalances in China

作　　者：王松[1,2] 张先瑾[3] 付志刚[2] 

机构地区：[1]中国社会科学院研究生院 [2]湖南商学院 [3]国家开发银行

出　　处：《中国社会科学院研究生院学报》2013年第5期61-67,共7页Journal of Graduate School of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences

基　　金：湖南省教育厅科学研究项目“转型背景下扩大居民消费需求的机制研究--基于收入分配的视角”(13C486)的阶段性成果

摘　　要：基于中国国情,引入经济动态效率理论研究中国经济增长过程中的需求结构失衡问题,通过对动态效率各种检验方法适用性的考察,发现居民消费与劳动收入净现金流准则为更合适的方法。应用该方法实证检验的结果显示,以1990年代初期为拐点,中国经济从动态有效向动态无效转化且程度加剧。进一步,通过统计与计量方法分析中国动态无效与需求结构失衡的关系,发现中国经济动态无效是需求结构失衡的主要原因之一。Based on the situation of China, this paper studies the structural imbalances of demand during the process of Chinese economic growth with the dynamic efficiency theory. It discovers that consumption and la- bor income net cash flow criterion is more suitable for China by testing the applicability of the dynamic effi- ciency in various ways. Empirical analysis shows that take early 1990s＇ as a turning point, Chinese economy turned into dynamic inefficiency from dynamic efficiency. Furthermore, by using statistical and econometrical analysis, it finds that Chinese dynamic inefficiency is one of the main reasons that cause structural imbalances of demand.

关 键 词：结构失衡 动态效率 AMSZ准则 误差修正模型 

分 类 号：F224[经济管理—国民经济] F124