内生偏好、公共财政运作效率与哈伯格-劳尔森-梅茨勒效应  

Endogenous Preference,Operational Efficiency of Public Finance and H-L-M Effect

作　　者：朱军[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]南京财经大学财政与税务学院,210046 [2]财政部财政科学研究所博士后流动站

出　　处：《国际贸易问题》2013年第10期3-11,共9页Journal of International Trade

基　　金：江苏高校优势学科建设工程资助项目(PAPD);教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目"中国地方公共支出的产出效率及其最优水平测度研究"(10YJC790416);中国博士后基金项目"开放经济中的中国财政政策规则"(2013M530568)的阶段性研究成果

摘　　要：经典的"H-L-M"效应("哈伯格-劳尔森-梅茨勒"效应)已经被各国经济学者探究了半个多世纪,但截止到目前,还没有文献基于Becker-Mulligan(1997)的贴现偏好进行理论分析,并且目前所有的研究均是考虑政府使用资源的确定性状态。对此,本文基于Becker-Mulligan(1997)的贴现因子讨论是否存在"H-L-M"效应,并比较了政府不同财政运转效率的结果。研究发现:在Becker-Mulligan(1997)贴现偏好下,贸易条件恶化将会导致经常账户出现盈余;而贸易条件恶化时,政府财政运转效率对于经常账户的重新平衡具有"加速"作用。Deterioration in the terms of trade can lead to current account defi- cit, according to the classic Harberger-Laursen-Metzler （H-L-M） effect. Much as this proposition has been discussed by worldwide economists over the past decades, little literature can be found to have probed into this statement based on Becker-Mulligan＇ s preference theory; all relevant studies concentrated on the de- terministic state of the government allocating resources instead. Against this back- ground, this paper bases itself on Becker-Mulligan＇ s preference theory to examine whether there is the H-L-M effect, and compares the H-L-M effects under different fiscal operation efficiencies. It is found that under Becker-Mulligan＇ s theory, improvement in the trade terms will lead to current account surplus, whereas the deterioration in the trade terms will stimulate the fiscal operation efficiency to accelerate the current account re-balancing.

关 键 词：开放经济 内生偏好 财政效率 H—L—M效应 

分 类 号：F810[经济管理—财政学]