上海金融发展对出口增长的影响机理及效应研究  

A Research on the Mechanism and Effects of Shanghai Financial Development on Export Growth

作　　者：姜辉[1,2] 查伟华[3] 

机构地区：[1]中国计量学院经管学院,浙江杭州310018 [2]浙江工商大学经济学院,浙江杭州310018 [3]浙江经贸职业技术学院工商管理系,浙江杭州310018

出　　处：《华东经济管理》2013年第10期11-15,共5页East China Economic Management

基　　金：教育部2012青年基金项目(12YJC790078);浙江哲学社会科学规划办重点课题(12YD17Z);浙江省自然科学基金项目(Y7100059);国家自然科学基金项目(71103167);浙江省高校人文社科重点研究基地"标准化与知识产权管理"一般项目(SIPM3204)

摘　　要：金融发展既可通过便利的融资环境、高效的国际结算手段和完善的信用体系而利于出口增长,也会因为金融资本流动对商品流动潜在的替代或资源约束而抑制出口扩张。文章立足于出口增长的规模效应和结构效应维度,选取金融机构存贷款增长率、金融相关率和信贷转换率等指标作为解释变量,以人民币实际汇率和对外直接投资为控制变量,就1990-2010年上海金融发展对出口增长的效应进行实证研究,结果表明金融规模的扩张对出口增长的规模效应不显著,但对出口结构的优化具有显著的正向推动作用,金融效率变化对出口增长规模和结构的影响均不显著。Financial development not only improves export growth due to sound financing environment, efficient means of interuational settlement and perfect credit system, but also hinders export expansion because commodity export is potentially substituted by financial capital flow or resources are constrained. From the dimension of scale effects and structure effects of export growth, the paper selects the growth rate of deposit and loan of financial institutions, financial related rate and credit conversion index as explanatory variables, and RMB real exchange rate and foreign direct investment as control variables as well, empirically analyzes the mechanism and effects of Shanghai finaneial development on export growth based on the data from 1990 to 2010, the results show that the expansion of financial scale is not significant to the size of export growth, but has a positiw＂ role in optimizing export structure, it is also found that financial efficiency has little effects on both the scale and structure of export.

关 键 词：金融发展 出口增长 规模效应 结构效应 

分 类 号：F061.5[经济管理—政治经济学]