机器博弈风险分析及其估算方法的研究  

Analysis and estimation of machine game risks

作　　者：张加佳[1] 王轩[1] 

机构地区：[1]哈尔滨工业大学深圳研究生院,深圳518055

出　　处：《高技术通讯》2013年第9期965-972,共8页Chinese High Technology Letters

基　　金：国家重大科技专项(2011ZX03002-004-01)资助项目

摘　　要：提出了风险损失的概念,讨论了机器博弈问题中可能导致风险损失的几种因素。针对完备信息和非完备信息机器博弈问题的风险损失情况进行分析,提出了一个在博弈过程中估算机器博弈问题风险损失的方法。通过对完备信息博弈问题和非完备信息多人博弈问题的实验,论证了所提出的观点,并验证了提出的风险损失估算方法的有效性。最后提出了一种基于风险损失的博弈策略选择方法。The concept of risk lost is put forward, and several factors that possibly bring risk lost in computer games are discussed. The risk lost in perfect and imperfect information games are analyzed, and a method for estimation of potential risk lost in the game process is proposed. Based on the results of the examinations on perfect and imperfect information games, the proposed standpoints are proved and the efficiency of the proposed estimating method for esti- mation of risk lost is tested. In the end, a game strategy decision method based on risk lost is presented.

关 键 词：多重均衡 风险占优均衡 非完备信息博弈 风险损失 

分 类 号：O225[理学—运筹学与控制论]