城市轨道交通经济效应实证研究——以北京市为例  

An empirical study on the economic efficiency of urban railway transportation:taking Beijing City for example

作　　者：周耀东[1] 张佳仪[1] 

机构地区：[1]北京交通大学经济管理学院经济系

出　　处：《城市问题》2013年第10期58-62,共5页Urban Problems

基　　金：北京交通大学基本业务科研基金项目(B10JB00250)--轨道交通与城市空间结构影响机制研究

摘　　要：以2001-2010北京市轨道交通为样本,对轨道交通的城市经济效应进行了实证研究,结果表明:轨道交通经济效应的实现过程可以表达为可达性改善引起人口集聚,进而形成土地价值提升,商业等服务业繁荣,从而带动地区经济发展;客运量增加与其所引起的经济效应之间存在正向关系;增加客运量和里程等刺激系数在短期内能够提高其经济效应的速度,但从长期来看刺激系数的改变与其经济效应的变化关系不大,存在弱化趋势。This essay conducts an empirical research on urban economic effect of the rail transportation based on system dynamics model with 2001 -2010 Beijing raft transportation da- ta. It is concluded that： The economic effects of rail transporta- tion is defined as the accessibility improvements caused by the concentration of population, and thus the formation of value of the land to enhance the prosperity of commercial services, and promote regional economic development ; The increase of passen- ger capacity is positive correlated with its economic effect; In the short term, stimulation coefficient increases passenger traffic to improve the speed of its economic effects. In long term, the in- crease of passenger capacity coefficient has less relation to re- gional economic growth and the economic effect is even weake- ning.

关 键 词：轨道交通 系统动力 刺激系数 经济效应 

分 类 号：F572.881[经济管理—产业经济]