福建省城乡居民收入差距变动及其影响因素研究  

Study on the Change and Influencing Factors of Income Gap Between Urban and Rural Residents in Fujian Province

作　　者：占纪文[1] 

机构地区：[1]福建农林大学经济学院(农村发展学院),福州350002

出　　处：《科技和产业》2013年第9期47-52,共6页Science Technology and Industry

基　　金：福建省教育厅资助项目(JB12100S)

摘　　要：基于福建省相关年份的统计资料,分析了福建省城乡居民收入差距变动的阶段性特征,建立了ARIMA(4,1,5)模型,并预测了2012、2013年的收入差距值。分析了收入差距的主要因素。在建立VAR模型的基础上,运用方差分解和脉冲响应分析技术,研究了各因素对福建省城乡居民收入差距的影响方向、影响力度、影响时效,最后阐明了研究结论及其政策含义。Based on the statistical data of relevant years in Fujian Province, the stage characteristics of the changes in income gap between urban and rural residents in Fujian Province was analyzed, the model of ARIMA（4,1,5） was established, and the income gap value in the year of 2012, 2013 was forecasted. The main factors of income gap are analyed. Based on the VAR model, the analysis techniques of variance decomposition and impulse response are used to study the direction of impact, influence strength, time effect of various factors on the income gap. Finally, research concluskms and policy meaning are illustrated.

关 键 词：城乡居民 收入差距 变动特征 预测 VAR模型 福建省 

分 类 号：F126.2[经济管理—世界经济]