河南省“三废”排放的库兹涅茨曲线特征及其成因的灰色关联度分析  

Kuznets Characteristics of "Three Wastes" in Henan Province and the Gray Related Analysis of Their Formation Causes

作　　者：张荣艳[1] 

机构地区：[1]黄河科技学院信息工程学院,河南郑州450006

出　　处：《数学的实践与认识》2013年第19期68-75,共8页Mathematics in Practice and Theory

基　　金：郑州市科技局基金项目(20120412);黄河科技学院基金项目(KYZR201115)

摘　　要：选取河南省2001-2011年经济与环境数据,在SPSS软件的支持下,建立河南省经济发展水平与"三废"排放状况的计量模型,分析"三废"排放的库兹涅茨曲线特征;并通过计算环境状况及其影响因子之间的灰色关联度,定量剖析了河南省"三废"排放的库兹涅茨曲线成因.结果表明:河南省在研究时段内,人均"三废"排放与人均GDP之间的关系并不都符合标准的环境库兹涅茨曲线(倒"U"型)关系,而是呈现出"三次曲线"、倒"U"和"凹函数"三种环境库兹涅茨类型;经济发展水平是影响环境质量状况的重要因子,但却不是唯一因素,另外能源利用、产业结构、城市规模、环境意识、环境投资等都对环境库兹涅茨曲线具有一定的解释意义.Based on economic and environmental statistical data covering 2001 to 2011, a model between environmental quality （＂three wastes＂） and economic growth is established and the characteristic of the Kuznets is analyzed; at last, the gray related degree between en- vironmental and their effects factors is calculated, and we qualitatively analyze the formation causes of environmental Kuznets curves. The results lead to two main conclusions： the envi- ronmental Kuznet＇s curve has three forms： cubic curve, inverted-U and U; economic factors may be important, but social and human factor should also be taken into account, such as energy use, industrial structure, city size, environmental awareness, environmental investment, and so on.

关 键 词：“三废” 库兹涅茨曲线 灰色关联度 

分 类 号：X502[环境科学与工程—环境工程]