我国低碳技术影响因素的实证分析及对策研究  

Factors of Low Carbon Technology in China: An Empirical Study and Countermeasures

作　　者：张宏武[1] 尹嘉慧[1] 

机构地区：[1]天津商业大学经济学院,天津300134

出　　处：《天津商业大学学报》2013年第5期33-38,共6页Journal of Tianjin University of Commerce

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目"我国CO2;NOX减排的区域经济效率测度及优化路径研究"(12BJY062);教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目"中国CO2排放;影响因素及低碳经济政策研究:多部门多地区的分析"(11YJA790205)

摘　　要：低碳经济已成为国际社会关注的热点问题之一。发展低碳经济的核心是低碳技术的创新和广泛推广,而低碳技术的创新和推广又受到很多因素的影响。本文在构建低碳技术影响因素指标体系的基础上,运用SPSS软件中的积差相关方法对各影响因素与低碳技术的相关性进行分析,进而运用逐步回归法对各指标对于低碳技术的影响程度进行分析,得出非化石能源比重、能源强度、人口城镇化率和专利申请授权数对低碳技术影响显著的结论,并在此基础上提出了相应的对策建议。Low carbon economy has become one of the hot topics in international community. The key to the development of low carbon economy is low carbon technology innovation and diffusion, which, however, are influenced by many factors. Based on the establishment of an index system of low carbon technology factors, the article analyzed the correlation between factors and low carbon technology with Pearson correlation method in SPSS software and the impacts of indicators on low carbon technology with stepwise regression method. It drew the conclusion that the proportion of non-fossil energy, energy intensity, urbanization rate of population and patents granted had significant impacts on low carbon technology and put forward some countermeasures.

关 键 词：低碳技术 指标体系 积差相关法 逐步回归法 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济]