大国产业结构变化对经济增长的影响:1990-2010中国和美国的比较分析  

The Influences of Industry Structure Changes to Economic Growth:A Comparative Analysis to China and the United States from 1990 to 2010

作　　者：邓柏盛[1] 

机构地区：[1]湖南商学院大国经济研究中心,湖南长沙410125

出　　处：《湘潭大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2013年第5期43-47,共5页Journal of Xiangtan University:Philosophy And Social Sciences

基　　金：国家社科基金重大项目"大国经济发展理论研究"(项目编号:11&ZD144);国家社科基金青年项目"大国自然资源优势与产业发展战略选择"(项目编号:11CJL050)

摘　　要：以中国和美因为例,对两国产业结构的变迁进行了深入的比较分析,并通过构建产业结构合理化和高级化指标,测度产业结构变迁对经济增长的影响。研究表明:中美两国产业结构的演变具有相似性,产业结构变迁对经济增长的影响也有极强的相似性。相似性表现在产业结构变迁的趋势和周期波动上,也表现在产业结构的合理化和高级化演变对经济增长的正面影响上。针对中关两国产业结构对经济增长的影响分析表明,中美两国产业结构合理化与经济增长之间关系具有极强的稳定性,而产业结构高级化与经济增长之间关系并不稳定。最后,提出了完善我国产业结构促进我国经济增长的政策建议。The article gives a deep comparison to U. S. and China＇ s industrial structure change. In this paper, we develop a new measurement of industrial structure from the rationalization and optimization of industrial structure and use them to measure the intu- ences of industrial structure change to economic growth. We find U. S. and China have similarity in the evolution of industrial structure, and they also have strong similarity on the influences of industrial structure change to economic growth. The similarities exhibit in the industrial structure change trend and cycle fluctuation, they also present in the positive effect of industrial structure rationalization and optimization change to economic growth. The results show that the rationalization of industrial structure and economic growth have a steady relationship and the optimization of industrial structure and economic growth have an uncertain relationship both in U. S. and Chi- na. Finally, we give policy suggestions on complete industrial structure to promote China ＇ s economic growth.

关 键 词：大国 产业结构 经济增长 工业化 

分 类 号：F264[经济管理—国民经济]