中国资源的供求格局及其前景展望  

Patterns and Prospects of China's Resources Supply and Demand

作　　者：张亮[1] 杨建龙[1] 

机构地区：[1]国务院发展研究中心,北京100010

出　　处：《当代经济管理》2013年第9期9-16,共8页Contemporary Economic Management

基　　金：国务院发展研究中心基础领域课题<资源约束背景下产业升级的机制与路径研究>;国家社会科学基金重大招标项目<抓住和利用好本世纪第二个十年我国发展重要战略机遇期的若干重大问题研究--面向未来的我国大国经济发展战略>(11&ZD002)的阶段性成果之一

摘　　要：在对我国资源的基本条件、资源消费的现状与未来资源消费的前景进行分析的基础上，得出：我国资源的基本条件决定国内资源的自我保障能力较差，加之未来10年～15年将是我国矿产资源消费的快速增长阶段，使得我国重要矿产的总量保障明显不足，资源结构性矛盾突出，大宗矿产资源的对外依存度将进一步上升，同时资源分布与工业布局不匹配问题将变得更加突出。最后，结合国内外矿产资源的形势，提出了影响未来我国资源保障能力的几个潜在因素。This article conducted a comprehensive analysis of the basic conditions, current consumptions and future prospects of China＇s resources. It concluded that the basic conditions of China＇s resources have pre-determined China＇s relatively lower resource self-support capacity. In addition, the next 10 to15 years will be a rapid growth phase of China＇s mineral resources consumption, which makes the support of the vital mineral resources obviously insufficient in our country and the structural contradictions of resource are getting prominent. It will also lead to a further bulk dependence on foreign mineral resources. At the same time, the mismatch of resource distribution and industrial layout will become more evident as well. Finally, combining domestic and foreign mineral resources situations, the article proposed several potential factors which may take effect on China＇s resources support capacity in the future.

关 键 词：资源 供求格局 前景展望 

分 类 号：F062.1[经济管理—政治经济学]