中国FDI时空演变及影响因素研究  

The Spatial-temporal Evolution and Its Influence Factors of FDI in China

作　　者：李欣[1] 何艳芬[1] 马超群[2] 赵鹏飞[1] 孟欢欢[1] 薛艳粉[1] 

机构地区：[1]西北大学城市与环境学院,中国陕西西安710127 [2]长安大学资源学院国土系,中国陕西西安710054

出　　处：《经济地理》2013年第10期20-27,共8页Economic Geography

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学西部和边疆地区青年项目(12XJC840001);中央高校基金项目(CHD2010JC112)

摘　　要：利用空间自相关和地理加权回归模型，以中国大陆31个省级区域为研究单元，选取相关指标，分析1985—2010年中国FDI的时空格局演变及影响因素。结果表明：不同时期全国利用FDI水平呈现出变化特征的差异，不同省域FDI利用水平存在显著的梯度差异；1985-2010年中国实际利用FDI水平呈现较强的空间相关性且集聚趋势不断增强，沿海省份位于实际利用FDI水平的HH区，西部省份位于LL区；中国省域FDI利用水平呈现出一种持续的非均衡态势，26年来中国省域实际利用FDI水平总体空间格局没有发生根本性的变化；进一步研究发现，累积效应、基本经济状况、基础设施、政策和市场环境5因子的空间集中程度差异显著。Foreign Direct Investment （FDI） is a result between multinational company investment demand and the environment of the host country＇ s economic as well as its policy. The paper takes 31 provincial regions in Chinese mainland as the research unit. Some relevant indicators have been selected with the spatial autocorrelation and geographically weighted regression model to analysis the special-temporal evolution of FDI in China and its influence factors from 1985 to 2010. The results show that： （1）There are significant differences of the level of FDI in different -provinces, and there are variable features in different periods;（2）There is a very strong spatial correlation in the level of actual utilization of FDI in China, and there has been an increase in its concentration trend from 1985 to 2010;（3）The local .spatial autocorrelation index shows that the level of the actual utilization of provincial FDI in China has shown a sustained non-equilibrium situation, and the special-temporal has not fundamentally changed; （4）Further study found that the spatial concentration difference between the cumulative effects, economic conditi,ns, infrastructure, policy and market environment is remarkable

关 键 词：FDI 省域 变化趋势 空间自相关 地理加权回归模型 中国 

分 类 号：F752[经济管理—国际贸易]