北京市出口贸易对碳排放的影响研究--基于主要工业行业的分析  

Effect of Export Trade on Carbon Emission in Beijing——Based on Analysis of Major Industrial Sectors

作　　者：朱凤琴[1] 齐琪[2] 齐新[3] 

机构地区：[1]合肥学院思想政治理论课教学部,安徽合肥230601 [2]对外经济贸易大学法学院,北京100029 [3]安徽省林业厅安徽合肥,230001

出　　处：《华东经济管理》2013年第11期160-164,共5页East China Economic Management

基　　金：国家社科学基金项目(12BJY141)

摘　　要：随着"十二五"规划的全面实施,关于如何协同实现"十二五"规划设定的外贸增长目标和碳排放减排目标,获得了越来越多的关注。文章采用因素分解分析法,以北京市各主要工业行业为研究对象,选取北京市2001年、2006年和2011年三个时间点的数据进行分析,定量测算"十五"和"十一五"期间北京市出口贸易通过三种效应对工业碳排放的影响。结果表明,北京市出口贸易对碳排放影响的规模效应为正,技术效应和结构效应为负,由于规模效应大大超过了技术效应和结构效应之和,因此总效应为正,出口贸易的扩大会对北京市碳减排产生不利影响,并据此提出了北京市实现"十二五"碳减排目标和外贸发展目标相容性的对策建议。As the overall implementation of the Twelfth Five-Year Plan, the problem of coordinating foreign trade develop-ment and carbon emission reduction has arisen more and more attention. This paper researches on the main industrial sectors in Beijing, by applying the methods of factor decomposition analysis. Based on the time point data of the year 2001, 2006 and 2011,it measures the effect of export trade on carbon emission through three kinds of environmental effect,during the imple-mentation of the Tenth Five-Year Plan and the Eleventh Five-Year Plan in Beijing. The result shows that the scale effect of ex-port trade in Beijing is positive while technique effect and composition effect are negative. The net environmental effect is posi-tive since the scale effect is much larger than the sum of technique effect and composition effect,thus the expansion of export trade has adverse impact on environment in Beijing. According to the above conclusions,this paper puts forward some sugges-tions on how to realize the compatibility of the foreign trade development object and the carbon emission reduction object, which are both well set in the Twelfth Five-Year Plan of Beijing.

关 键 词：出口贸易 工业行业 碳排放 因素分解分析 

分 类 号：F752[经济管理—国际贸易]