基于专利交叉影响法的NBIC会聚趋势研究  

Study on the Converging Trend of NBIC based on Patent-Based Cross Impact Analysis

作　　者：苗红[1] 秦立芳[1] 黄鲁成[1] 吴菲菲[1] 

机构地区：[1]北京工业大学经济与管理学院,北京100124

出　　处：《科技进步与对策》2013年第20期94-98,共5页Science & Technology Progress and Policy

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目(11&ZD140);北京工业大学日新人才计划项目(011000543112500);国家自然科学基金重点项目(70639002)

摘　　要：纳米技术、生物技术、信息技术和认知科学(简称NBIC)中任意技术领域间的会聚都将极大地改变人类当前的生产生活状态,把握NBIC当前的会聚状态及会聚趋势具有重要意义。从NBIC会聚技术结构及其类型出发,针对NBIC会聚状态、会聚趋势分析方法,深入分析了国内外学者对会聚技术的研究现状。提出了基于专利交叉影响法研究NBIC会聚趋势的设想,并具体描述了其基本步骤,为定量分析NBIC各技术间的会聚提供了新思路。The convergence among any of nanotechnology, biotechnology, information technology and cognitive science will change current status of production and life dramatically, thus grasping the convergence status and converging trend of NBIC is of significant meaning. This paper sets out from the structure of NBIC and the type of convergence, then analyzes the research status of converging state of NBIC and analysis method of convergence. Aiming at the limitation of current study about the converging trend, this paper proposes the idea using patent-based cross impact analysis to study the converging trend among NBIC, and points out basic steps.

关 键 词：专利交叉影响法 NBIC 会聚趋势 会聚技术 

分 类 号：F260[经济管理—国民经济]