农村物流与农村经济发展的因果关系研究——以杭州市涉农7县(市、区)为例  

Study on Causal Relationship between Rural Logistics and Development of Rural Economy:In the Case of Seven Counties in Hangzhou

作　　者：彭建良[1] 王伺远 

机构地区：[1]浙江工商大学计算机与信息工程学院,浙江杭州310018

出　　处：《物流技术》2013年第9期133-135,170,共4页Logistics Technology

基　　金：杭州市科技计划软科学研究资助项目(20120834M24)

摘　　要：旨在探索农村物流与农村经济发展之间的因果关系,运用了格兰杰因果关系分析法,对杭州市涉农的7县(市、区)的物流与农村经济进行了全面分析。结果发现:农村经济对农村物流有显著的促进作用,而农村物流对农村经济的促进作用却不是那么显著,即在改善农村物流发展水平方面仍有很大的空间。故此提出了促进农村物流发展的相应对策。In this paper, in order to explore the causality between rural logistics and the development of rural economy, we applied the Granger causal analysis in a comprehensive analysis of the logistics and rural economy of seven counties of Hangzhou that were involved in agricultural production and found that rural economy had significant promotive effect on rural logistics while the reverse was not so pronounced.Accordingly we proposed the countermeasures to promote the development of rural logistics.

关 键 词：农村物流 农村经济 格兰杰检验 因果关系 

分 类 号：F259.27[经济管理—国民经济]