基于博弈推演模型的作战能力需求分析方法  

Method for Analyzing Operational Ability Requirements

作　　者：邵静[1] 于辉[1] 徐沛[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国电子科技集团公司第二十八研究所,南京210007

出　　处：《指挥信息系统与技术》2013年第5期1-5,50,共6页Command Information System and Technology

基　　金：总装"十二五"国防预研基金资助项目

摘　　要：针对网络中心战条件下复杂军事信息系统的需求分析问题,以作战能力需求分析为核心,在对装备宏观能力需求分析基础上,提出了基于Markov博弈模型的作战样例动态推演方法。该方法可生成体系作战能力需求,进而通过分析推导系统能力和装备能力需求。该方法已用于某海上编队信息系统的作战能力需求分析,并采用博弈推演模型对具体作战样例进行推演分析。结果验证了该方法的可行性和有效性,为同类复杂系统的作战能力需求分析提供借鉴。Dealing with the requirement analysis of complex military information systems in a net- centric environment, centering upon the analysis of operational ability requirements, an opera- tional scenario evolvement method based on the Markov game model is proposed by analysis of top-level ability requirements of equipment. The system operational ability requirements can be generated by the method, and in turn the system ability and the equipment ability requirements can be obtained. The method is used in the requirement analysis of a maritime formation informa- tion system, and the game evolvement model is used to analyze the specific example. Results prove the feasibility and the effectiveness of the method. The method can be applied to opera- tional ability requirement analysis on other eomnlex ~v^tem.~_

关 键 词：作战能力需求分析 Markov博弈模型 样例推演 军事信息系统 

分 类 号：TP311[自动化与计算机技术—计算机软件与理论]