技术选择与产业结构转型升级  

Technology Choice and Transformation and Upgrading of Industrial Structure

作　　者：薛继亮[1] 

机构地区：[1]内蒙古大学经济管理学院,内蒙古呼和浩特010021

出　　处：《产业经济研究》2013年第6期29-37,共9页Industrial Economics Research

基　　金：内蒙古大学高层次人才引进科研项目"内蒙古自治区产业转型升级和劳动力市场的微观机理研究"(项目编号:30105-125142);国家自然科学基金项目"不确定性条件下可耗竭资源产业最优发展路径研究-以稀土产业为例"(项目编号:71163025)的阶段性成果

摘　　要：技术选择对产业结构升级的显著影响,将为产业结构升级提供了动力。本文利用2003～2011年中国统计数据,在测度技术选择系数的基础上,实证研究了技术选择和产业结构转型升级的作用机理。结果发现:中国的整体产业发展技术不断进步,带来资本深化和产值增加,进而导致产业不断转型升级。其中技术选择系数对行业人均产值具有正向影响,并且中国产业结构转型伴随着技术选择的准确越来越快。这说明了合适的技术选择将会较大的推进产业转型升级,但是技术选择路径是自主创新还是技术引进还需进一步关注。Technology choice has significant impact on the upgrading of the industrial structure, would provide the impe- tus for the upgrading of the industrial structure. In this paper, we use the statistical data from 2003 ~ 2011 in China, make an empirical study on the mechanism of the transformation and upgrading of industrial structure and technology choice based on measurement technology choice index, found： the overall development industry technology of China＇s makes progress, bring capital deepening and output value increased, resulting constant transformation and upgrading of industry. The technology choice factor has a positive impact on the industry production value per capita, and industrial structure transition in China with technology choice faster, which shows that the appropriate technology choice would greatly promote the transformation and up- grading of industry, but needs further attention in the choice of technology innovation or technology import.

关 键 词：技术选择 产业结构 转型升级 作用机理 资本深化 Shift-Share模型 

分 类 号：F424[经济管理—产业经济]