新兴领域的文献计量学预测方法综述(待续)  

Overview on Bibliometric Methods for Predicting Emerging Fields (to be continued)

作　　者：周萍[1] 

机构地区：[1]浙江大学公共管理学院信息资源管理系,浙江杭州310027

出　　处：《情报科学》2013年第11期143-149,共7页Information Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71073153)

摘　　要：回顾了主要国家有关新兴领域预测的科技政策,厘清了新兴领域、研究前沿、以及知识基础之间的关系:这三种概念描述的是一种新知识从出现、发展到成熟过程中的不同历史阶段。因此,发现或预测新兴领域的关键便是寻找研究前沿。本文在介绍发现研究前沿的主要文献计量学方法基础上,对以Small为代表的学者提出的同被引分析法及其演变进行了较为详尽的探讨。Scientific and technology policies of advanced countries are briefly reviewed. Concepts and re- lations between emerging fields, research fronts, and knowledge base are clarified. The three terms ex- pressed different historical stages of knowledge from emerging, development, to maturity. Key bibliomet- ric methodologies for discovering research fronts are briefly introduced with a focus on co-citation method based on the assumption of Small who argued that highly cited and co-cited publications can be used to map the emergence of a new field,. Evolvement of co-citation method is also reviewed.

关 键 词：同被引 新兴领域 研究前沿 知识基础 

分 类 号：G250.2[文化科学—图书馆学]