基于FAHP的双船近距离系泊作业分析研究  

Research on Mooring Operation of Two Nearby Ships Based on FAHP

作　　者：张龙[1] 余建星[1] 周清基[1] 刘源[1] 刘春辉[1] 

机构地区：[1]天津大学水利工程仿真与安全国家重点实验室,天津300072

出　　处：《船舶工程》2013年第5期20-23,39,共5页Ship Engineering

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(51239008);国家科技重大专项资助项目(2011ZX05026-006);海洋工程国家重点实验室(上海交通大学)开放课题项目资助(课题编号1201)

摘　　要：针对曹妃甸单点系泊改造项目中双船近距离系泊作业面临的风险问题开展研究,首先针对双船近距离长期作业过程中,可能发生的风险事件、可能后果形式、以及可能的原因进行了系统的分析,接下来探讨了模糊层次分析法的理论及其适用性,并运用该方法对双船近距离系泊作业进行定量风险评估,得到了重要风险因素,并提出了相应的改进控制措施,以保障工程船舶施工作业安全可靠。Considering the risk factors of mooring operation of two nearby ships for the CFD-SPM repair project, firstly it analyzes the possibility of risk events, the forms of possible consequences and the possible reasons of long-term mooring operation of two nearby ships. Then # discusses the theory and applieabili（y of the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process （FAHP）. Quantitative risk analysis is＇ done based on fuzzy analytic hierarchy process for mooring operation of two nearby ships. The important risk sources are obtained The corresponding improvement measures are subjected to make sure that the security and reliability of the enineerin ships durin the ooeration.

关 键 词：双船近距离作业 系泊作业 模糊层次分析法 定量风险分析 

分 类 号：U675.92[交通运输工程—船舶及航道工程]