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作 者:高静[1]
出 处:《当代财经》2013年第11期87-98,共12页Contemporary Finance and Economics
基 金:国家社会科学基金项目"加工贸易约束下中国外贸碳排放定量测算及环境效应评估研究"(12CJL051);国家社会科学基金项目"应对外需减弱保持出口平稳增长研究"(09BJY079);湖南省社会科学基金项目"制造业协同发展下湖南省生产性服务业产业竞争力的研究"(2010YBB134)
摘 要:采用二元边际分析方法,以中国对美国出口的5000多种6位码贸易数据为分析对象,将中国制造业细分部门的出口分解成深度增长与广度增长,同时对最具代表性的高、低技术组制造业的价格效应、数量效应及贸易条件之间的关系和发展趋势进行深入分析。结果发现,技术要素在决定部门出口产品种类、价格、质量及贸易条件方面起到重要作用,其中非体现式技术进步(研发、专利数量)对二元边际增长效应最大。国内因素包括部门对就业的吸纳程度、资本相对劳动的偏向性增长、人均工资及产业规模等更大程度地通过影响出口的深度增长来提升出口生产效率,对广度增长影响的显著性并不明显。By employing the binary marginal analysis method, this paper takes more than 5000 kinds of 6-digit-code trade data of Chinese exports to the U.S as analytical objects, decomposes the exportation from the subdivision department of China's manufacturing industry into growth in depth and growth in width, then conducts a deep analysis of the relationship between price effect, quantity effect and trade terms of the most representative higher and lower technology-intensive groups in manufacturing industry as well as their development tendency. The results indicate that technological factors are playing a significant role in deciding the variety, price, quality and trade terms of export products, of which the non-embodied technological progress (research and development, number of patent) has the greatest binary marginal growth effect. The domestic factors, including employment ab- sorbing ability, biased growth of capital over labor, per capita wages and industrial scales, can im- prove the export production efficiency through affecting the export growth in depth to a larger degree. However, their impact on the growth in width is not significant.
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