基于模糊综合评价法的应急通信预案实施效果评估研究  

Research on Assessment of Emergency Effect for Communications Plays Based on Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation ( FCE)

作　　者：樊自甫[1] 胡佳婷 万哓榆 

机构地区：[1]重庆邮电大学经济管理学院,重庆400065

出　　处：《科技管理研究》2013年第22期63-67,共5页Science and Technology Management Research

基　　金：国家社科基金西部项目"公共突发事件通信保障应急预案的有效性评估方法及研究"(12XGL015);教育部社科研究规划基金项目"非常规突发事件下应急通信预案体系有效性评估理论和方法"(11YGA630016)

摘　　要：非常规突发事件下,应急通信是实施指挥调度和保障信息传递的关键,其重要的前提和基础是应急通信预案体系的合理、有效。基于此,参考国内外相关标准,提取评价指标,运用网络分析法确定指标权重,通过模糊综合评价(FCE)的方法对应急通信预案的实施效果进行评估,从而建立评估体系,为我国应急通信预案有效性的评价提供有益借鉴。In the case of unconventional emergencies, emergency communications is the key to implement the command and control and security of information transmission. The emergency system of communications plays is reasonable and effective, which is the important prerequisite and fundamental. Therefore, referring to the standards at home and abroad, the main factors that affect the evaluation of emergency effect for communications plays are analyzed. In order to avoid the effect of individual subjective judgment and favoritism on the result of evaluation, a method based on Analytic Network Process （ANP） and Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation （FCE） is proposed. The ANP is used to determine the weight of each index, and the FCE is applied to the information processing of the evaluation. The whole assessment system provides a beneficial reference for evaluating the emergency effectiveness of communications plays.

关 键 词：应急通信预案 评估 有效性 

分 类 号：TN99[电子电信—信号与信息处理]