我国能源消费结构与经济发展关系的变迁研究  

Research on the Change of Relationship between Energy Consumption Structure and Economic Development in China

作　　者：王庆丰[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]中原工学院 [2]中原工学院系统与工业工程技术研究中心,郑州450007

出　　处：《中原工学院学报》2013年第2期42-45,73,共5页Journal of Zhongyuan University of Technology

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71071077);河南省政府决策研究招标课题(2012B806);河南省教育厅自然科学研究计划项目(2011A790032)

摘　　要："九五"至"十一五"期间我国能源消费结构发生显著变化.本文采用灰色关联分析方法对该阶段内我国能源消费结构与国民经济的灰色关联度进行对比研究.结果表明:天然气和电力两类能源与经济发展的关联度分别由"九五"期间的后两位上升至"十一五"期间的前两位,可再生能源等新兴能源与我国国民经济发展的关系日益密切.为了保持未来国民经济的持续增长,应大力发展新能源产业;同时重视能源安全问题,制定合理的能源发展战略.This paper uses grey incidence analysis to research the synthetic degree of incidence between energy consumption structure and economic development from ＂the Ninth Five-year Plan＂ to ＂the Eleventh Five-year Plan＂ in China. The result indicates that the degree of incidence of natural gas and hydro-power, nuclear power, wind power have risen from the final two during ＂the Ninth Five-year Plan＂ to the top two during ＂the Eleventh Five-year Plan＂. Renewable energy and other new energy have increasingly close relationship with economic development. In order to maintain the steady growth of national economy, new energy industry should be developed vigorously. At the same time, more attention should be payed to the issues of energy secu- rity and rational energy development strategy should be made.

关 键 词：能源消费结构 灰色关联分析 经济发展 新能源 

分 类 号：F062.1[经济管理—政治经济学]