农业技术进步、非农技术进步与农村劳动力转移——基于1978～2011年全国数据的实证研究  

Agricultural Technology Progress,Non-agricultural Technology Progress and Transfer of Rural Labor——Empirical Analysis with National Data from 1978 to 2011

作　　者：王卫[1] 佟光霁[1] 

机构地区：[1]东北林业大学经济管理学院,黑龙江哈尔滨150040

出　　处：《山西财经大学学报》2013年第11期57-67,共11页Journal of Shanxi University of Finance and Economics

基　　金：教育部博士点基金项目"农业现代化进程中的职业农民培育研究"(20120062110004);国家软科学研究计划"中国农村劳动力转移的制度完善研究"(2010GXQ5D329)

摘　　要：经验数据表明我国农村劳动力仍具有转移空间和潜力。作为资源重新配置的过程，劳动力转移在受制于技术进步的同时也会影响技术进步。本文基 1978-2011年的全国数据，估算了农业产业和非农产业的全要素生产率，运用计量方法实证分析了技术进步与农村劳动力转移之间的影响关系。结果表明，农业技术进步与农村劳动力转移之间存在长期正相关均衡关系，与理论模型结论相符；非农技术进步与农村劳动力转移之间并不存在显著相关关系，与理论模型结论不符。通过对模型结果的分析认为，有必要在技能培训、品牌路线、深化改革等方面采取综合措施，以保证农村劳动力在农业部门和非农部门之间顺利转移。Based on national data from 1978 to 2011, this paper has estimated the total factor productivity of agriculture and non-agricultural industry and empirically analyzed the relationship between technological progress and rural labor transfer by econo- metric method. The result indicates that there has been long-term, positive correlation and equilibrium relationship between agricuhur- al technology progress and transfer of rural labor, which is consistent with conclusion of theoretical model; however, there is no signifi- cant correlation between non-agricultural technology progress and transfer of rural labor, which is contradicted with conclusion of the- oretical model. Through the analysis of model results, it is necessary to take synthesize implements in terms of skills training, brand line and deepen the reform etc in group to ensure that transfer of rural labor flows smoothly between agricultural sector and non-agri- cultural sector.

关 键 词：农业技术进步 非农技术进步 农村劳动力转移 全要素生产率 

分 类 号：F323[经济管理—产业经济]