青藏高原农牧民对气候变化和灾害的认知及适应对策研究  

Adaptation Strategies and Cognition of Climate Changes and Disasters of the Farmers and Herdsmen on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau

作　　者：沈兴菊[1] 

机构地区：[1]西南民族大学旅游与历史文化学院,四川成都610041

出　　处：《云南民族大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2013年第6期15-19,共5页Journal of Yunnan Minzu University(Philosophy and Social Sciences Edition)

基　　金：国家973项目"青藏高原生态与社会经济系统对气候变化的响应与适应"(项目编号:2010CB951700);四川省社会科学规划项目"西南少数民族对气候变化及灾害的认知评价研究"(项目编号:SC12C006);四川省科技厅计划项目"基于旅游与环境冲突的四川民族地区生态安全创新保障机制研究"(项目编号:2010ZR0101)阶段成果

摘　　要：青藏高原是对全球气候变化反应敏感的地带。通过对青藏高原4个县746户农牧民气候变化及灾害的认知能力及适应行为的调查,结果表明:农牧民对与自己生产和生活相关的气候变化特征,如水位的下降,降雨量的变化认知十分明显,但对气候变化引起的灾害认知模糊,对其危害程度估计不足;多数农户能够正确把握气候变化带来的影响并选择主动行为适应气候变化,但在风险认知上却存在侥幸心理,大部分农牧民没有采取任何抵御气候灾害的应对措施。该区域今后应加强对农牧民气候适应行为的指导,提高农牧民气候认知能力和风险意识,以增强其气候变化和灾害的适应能力。This is a research on the adaptation strategies and cognition of climate changes and disasters of 746 households of farmers and herdsmen in 4 counties on the Qinghai - Tibetan Plateau which responds sensitively to global climate change. The results show that they have some good cognition of the features of climate changes related to their own life and production such as the decline of water level and rainfall change, but very vague cognition of disasters and their consequences caused by climate changes. Most households could cope the impacts of climate change fairly well and take initiative in adapting to climate changes, but they have the idea of leaving things to chance in terms of risk evaluation, and most of them haven＇t taken countermeasures. It is necessary to guide them to adapt to the cli- mate changes with better cognition and risk awareness in future.

关 键 词：青藏高原 气候变化 灾害 农牧民 认知 

分 类 号：C912[经济管理]