基于GDP和旅游收入相关分析看旅游经济发展——以安徽省旅游为例  

An Outlook of the Tourist Economy's Future Based on the Correlation Analysis of GDP and Tourist Revenue:A Case Study of the Tourism

作　　者：朱吉玉[1] 李剑[1] 

机构地区：[1]安徽商贸职业技术学院工商管理系,安徽芜湖241002

出　　处：《邵阳学院学报（社会科学版）》2013年第6期63-67,共5页Journal of Shaoyang University:Social Science Edition

基　　金：安徽省人文社科重点项目"皖江城市带承接产业转移示范区人才流失和人才开发战略研究"(SK2012A052)

摘　　要：随着中国旅游业的迅猛发展,旅游业与经济增长之间的关系日益引起研究者的重视。文章通过2011年全国GDP和旅游收入、安徽省2002至2011年GDP和旅游收入两组数据的比较,运用Eviews软件,从纵、横两个方向,对GDP与旅游收入之间的关系进行量化分析。分析证明,两者之间都存在高度的正相关关系。据此提出促进安徽旅游经济发展的政策建议,为实现安徽由旅游大省向旅游强省转变提供理论参考。As China＇ s tourism industry is developing with a highspeed, great attention is paid by researchers to the relationship of the development of tourism and the growth of economy. In comparison with both the national GDP of 2011 and tourism revenue, GDP in 2002 and that in 20ll in Anhui,the relationship between GDP and tourism revenue has been analyzed quantitatively with Eviews statistical software from the vertical and horizontal measurement orientation. Numerical results show that whether from the horizontal angle across nationwide, or vertical angle across Anhui province, there is highly positive relationship between GDP and tourism reve- nue. Then the author puts forward suggestions for promoting the development of tourism economy in Anhui province; and also, the au- thor provides theoretical reference to realize Anhui as a big tourism province completed the transition to a province with strong tourism industry.

关 键 词：GDP 旅游收入 相关分析 旅游经济 安徽省旅游 

分 类 号：F59[经济管理—旅游管理]