1981—2011年江苏省外贸出口结构与经济增长关系的实证研究  

The Empirical Research of the Relationship between Export Structure and Economic Growth in Jiangsu Province in 1981—2011

作　　者：葛建坤[1] 

机构地区：[1]南京晓庄学院行知学院,江苏南京211171

出　　处：《淮海工学院学报（人文社会科学版）》2013年第18期23-25,共3页Journal of Huaihai Institute of Technology(Humanities & Social Sciences Edition)

摘　　要：运用基于VAR模型的脉冲响应函数,考察江苏省1981—2011年外贸出口结构变化与经济增长的动态演进关系。研究结果表明:在贸易自由化和全球经济一体化的大背景下,外贸出口结构的变化促进了江苏宏观经济的持续增长,而宏观经济增长对江苏省外贸出口结构优化并未产生明显的促进作用。因此,应进一步转变经济增长方式,优化外贸出口结构,促进二者共同发展。IThis paper researched the dynamic relationship between the structural changes in exports with the economic growth in Jiangsu province in 1981-2011 by the impulse response function based on VAR model.The results show that the structural changes in exports promote the economic sustained growth, but the growth of economy doesn’t help the optimization of export structure in the context of trade liberal-ization and global economic integration in Jiangsu province.Hence,further innovation of the economic growth,and optimization of the export structure are needed to meet the common development.

关 键 词：外贸出口结构 经济增长 VAR模型 江苏 

分 类 号：F752.853[经济管理—国际贸易]