湖北汉江流域水资源短缺风险评价  

Risk Assessment of Water Shortage of Han River Drainage in Hubei Province

作　　者：赵举兴 张中旺[1,2] 许应石[3] 

机构地区：[1]湖北文理学院管理学院,湖北襄阳441053 [2]中国地质大学地球科学学院,湖北武汉430074 [3]江苏省地质调查研究院,江苏南京210018

出　　处：《湖北文理学院学报》2013年第11期43-47,共5页Journal of Hubei University of Arts and Science

基　　金：2012年度湖北省社会科学基金项目(2012088);湖北省软科学研究计划项目(2011DEB008);湖北省社会科学基金项目([2010]275);国家自然科学基金项目(41101544)

摘　　要：研究湖北汉江流域水资源短缺风险程度,可以对区域水资源利用管理提供决策依据.文章运用层次分析法和隶属度评价构建了水资源短缺评价体系,并用于评价湖北汉江流域9个行政区的水资源短缺风险.评价结果表明:湖北汉江流域属于低度水资源短缺风险.9个行政区的水资源短缺风险程度由高到低依次为:襄阳、天门、孝感、武汉、荆门、潜江、仙桃、十堰、神农架林区;其中襄阳属于极高度水资源短缺风险;天门、孝感、武汉、荆门等4个行政区属于高度水资源短缺风险;潜江、仙桃等2个行政区属于中度水资源短缺风险,接近低度风险;十堰、神农架林区等2个行政区属于低度水资源短缺风险.Risk assessment of water shortage of Han River drainage in Hubei Province can provide evidence to regional management of water resources. It builds an evaluatuion system for assessment of water shortage to evaluate the risk assessment of water shortage of 9 administrative regions locating in Han River drainage via AHP and membership evaluation. It finds that the rank of water shortage of these nine is as follows： Xiangyang, Tianmen, Xiaogan, Wuhan, Jing men, Qianjiang, Xiantao, Shiyan and Shennongjia, according to decreasing order, in which Xiangyang is at extremely high water shortage risk, Tianmen, Xiaogan, Wuhan, Jingmen are at high risk, Qianjiang and Xiantao are at moderate risk, near the low risk, and Shiyan and Shennongjia are at low risk.

关 键 词：汉江流域 水资源短缺 层次分析法 风险评价 南水北调中线工程 

分 类 号：TV211.1[水利工程—水文学及水资源]