基于模糊层次分析法的中小型水利水电工程施工风险评价  

Construction Risk Assessment of Small and Medium-sized Water Conservancy and Hydroelectric Power Engineering Based on Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Method

作　　者：强跃[1,2] 何运祥[2] 刘光华 

机构地区：[1]重庆交通大学水利水运工程教育部重点实验室,重庆400074 [2]重庆三峡学院土木工程学院,重庆404100 [3]重庆水利水电职业技术学院水利工程系,重庆402160

出　　处：《施工技术》2013年第21期51-54,共4页Construction Technology

基　　金：国家自然科学基金面上项目(51279219);教育部博士点基金(20125522110004);重庆市自然科学基金(cstc2013jjb30002)

摘　　要：为了评价中小型水利水电工程施工风险,选取了16个影响施工风险的评价因子,根据模糊层次分析法,用MATLAB编制了相应程序,建立了相应风险评价理论体系模型。以某中小型水利水电工程施工风险为实例,实现了该工程施工风险评价。该方法计算结果与实际工程相符,证明了方法的可行性。In order to evaluate construction risk of the small and medium-sized water conservancy and hydropower engineering and based on the princip evaluation factors impacting the construction risk e of fuzzy level analysis method, this paper selects 16 uses Matlab to workout corresponding subroutine and the main program functions to establish the corresponding theoretical system of risk assessment model. Selecting the construction risk of a small water conservancy and hydropower as an example, construction risk assessment of the project is realized. The calculating results agree with critical practice which proves the feasibility of the method.

关 键 词：项目管理 模糊层次分析法 风险评价 有限元分析 

分 类 号：TU717[建筑科学—建筑技术科学]