中国外贸商品结构合理性实证研究  

Empirical Research on Rationality of China's Foreign Trade Commodity Structure

作　　者：杨丽华[1] 

机构地区：[1]宁波大学商学院,浙江宁波315211

出　　处：《商业经济与管理》2013年第11期70-78,共9页Journal of Business Economics

基　　金：浙江省哲学社会科学规划重点项目"浙江省民间融资管理研究:现实困境;阳光模式与制度构建"(12YD10Z);宁波市社会科学研究基地研究课题"区域性国际贸易中心城市建设的经贸环境建设研究"(JD12QY08)

摘　　要：在明晰外贸商品结构合理性经济内涵的前提下,文章从我国基本国情出发,在比较现有研究方法的基础上选择投入产出分析法,运用改进的推动力系数和影响力系数,重构了进出口商品结构合理度指数及其调整指数,同时根据1997、2002、2007三个在中国不同发展阶段具有代表性的年度中,对年投入产出表的相关数据进行了计算,并以此来分析我国近10年进出口商品结构的合理性,找出我国进出口商品结构的发展趋势,发现其先扬后抑的发展体现出的不合理性暴露了很多问题。文章最后根据分析计算结果,相应地给出了能够使我国进出口商品结构回归合理的对策。Based on the national conditions, and on defining the foreign trade commodity structure rationality, this paper has established the judgment standard in compliance with the industrial structure improvement, and the economic development to overcome the blind pursuing of high-grade foreign trade commodity structure. In comparison with the existing research method, it adopts input-output analysis, using the improved influence coefficient and impetus coefficient to restructure the import and export commodity structure rationality index and adjustment index, and using China input-output table in 1997, 2002, 2007 to calculate the correlative evaluation index. It analyzes the import and export commodity structure rationality in the past ten years and finds that the development trend of China~ foreign trade commodity structure first declines and then rises, indicating the inadequate rationality requiring improvement. Finally it attempts to put forward reasonable countermeasures for adjusting our foreign trade commodity structure.

关 键 词：经济增长 产业结构 投入产出 外贸商品结构 

分 类 号：F746.2[经济管理—国际贸易]