白洋淀水域面积变化的灰色关联度分析  

Grey Analysis of the Water Area Change of Baiyangdian Lake

作　　者：李涛[1] 张义文[1] 申海鹏[1] 梁剑[1] 徐艳菲[1] 焦明[2] 

机构地区：[1]河北师范大学资源与环境科学学院/河北省环境演变与生态建设实验室,石家庄050024 [2]河北化工医药职业技术学院,石家庄050026

出　　处：《湖北农业科学》2013年第19期4638-4641,4647,共5页Hubei Agricultural Sciences

基　　金：河北省自然科学基金项目(D2010000414)

摘　　要：针对近年来白洋淀水域面积持续减少的问题,采用灰色系统理论对白洋淀2000、2005、2010年水域面积和安新县总播种面积、地下水开采量、年平均气温等11项社会经济和自然因素进行分析。结果表明,在缺乏稳定补给水源的情况下,地下水开采量与白洋淀水域面积变化的关联度最高,在当前环境下要解决白洋淀湿地的退化问题,首先要解决该地区地下水超采的问题。According to the existing water area reduction of Baiyangdian Lake,the grey system theory was used to analysis 11 socioeconomic and natural factors in years 2000,2005 and 2010.The factors included the water area of Baiyangdian,the total sown areas of Anxin county,groundwater exploitation,annually mean temperature and so on.It was found that on the condition of lacking stable recharge water source,there was a high correlation between groundwater exploitation and the change of water area.It is proposesed that the problem of regional groundwater overdraft should be solved first when the wetland degradation problem of Baiyangdian Lake in current condition can be settled continuously.

关 键 词：白洋淀水域面积 灰色关联度分析 湿地生态系统 变化 

分 类 号：S117[农业科学—农业基础科学]